2020年9月19日 星期六

Re-美國精英体制为何失灵 ?

 收到FT中文网 :一周精选:精英体制为何失灵 
Why isn’t meritocracy working?
http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001089387
當以職業為基礎的特權取代世襲特權時,三本新書支持基本的藍領技能

可以聽英語音頻
https://twitter.com/curioio/status/1303392662234431488

文章作家Rana Foroohar @RanaForoohar是@CNN全球經濟分析師。
和@FT全球業務專欄作家兼副主編。她的個人網頁ranaforoohar.com







她的第一篇著名文章可能是-金融改革神話(2013)
Rana Foroohar -The Myth of Financial Reform (2013)
當時她在《時代》雜誌任職

http://content.time.com/time/subscriber/article/0,33009,2151806,00.html

驚人的事實是美國財政部需要進行反駁
https://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/Pages/
Response-to-TIME-Magazine-Article-on-Financial-Reform-.aspx

然後她寫了兩本書

Rana Foroohar (17 May 2016).
Makers and Takers: The Rise of Finance and the Fall of American Business


中國大陸翻譯 (2017)


中國大陸YouTube影片
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZf_pBFtsW4

Rana Foroohar (5 November 2019). 

Don't Be Evil:
How Big Tech Betrayed Its Founding Principles -- and All of Us


中國大陸介紹
https://site.douban.com/110577/widget/notes/307426/note/743300333/

作家博客頁面
https://www.ranaforoohar.com/dontbeevil-1

似乎google創始人的口號現在是諷刺

她最近的播客節目中談到了製造業的重要性,如何重建美國工業,
以及為什麼自由市場沒有採取行動
為每個人提供足夠的N95口罩以確保免受COVID-19的傷害。
https://buildingthedream.substack.com/p/rebuilding-american-industry-with

有關她的Wiki內容

她的父親Aygen Erol Dogar是土耳其移民,是一名工程師,曾在中西部地區創辦一家小型製造企業

她在2016年的制造者与索取者中寫道了自己的岳父岳父羅伯特·敏特·塞奇威克(Robert Minturn Sedgwick),他警告過積極管理基金的弊端。

她9月21-25日將共同主持《金融時報》活動
討論了以公司債務為基礎的經濟的脆弱性。
https://newsocialcontract.live.ft.com/

她在談論特朗普的經濟遺產economic legacy
@cnn特別紀錄片在這兩個星期六晚上
https://twitter.com/RanaForoohar/status/1304464868943237121

她是外交關係委員會的終身會員。

一天前信函:小型企業需要G20來維護貿易融資

來自法國巴黎國際商會秘書長約翰·W·丹頓

"我要謙虛地建議,對於20國集團貿易部長在下週舉行會議之前,必須將Rana Foroohar對商品金融市場近期緊縮的分析作為一項重要的預讀(“下一次次貸危機可能來自糧食”,Opinion,9月14日)"

https://www.ft.com/content/2e524eeb-0b46-492d-b2e2-442772485f05

下一次次貸危機可能來自糧食
https://www.universalpersonality.com/the-next-subprime-crisis-could-be-in-food/
" 餐食和汽油的價格飆升通常會引發社會動盪甚至革命。 麵包騷亂曾是2011年阿拉伯叛亂的眾多催化劑之一。在美國,始於同一12個月的油價飆升引發了關於2008年金融災難,是否有危險的購買和 出售部分大型銀行,但尚未解決"

她的八字 (1970-3-4) 天生具有屬性正官正印戊庚

在美國大選後的十二月,那將是她流年庚流月戊, 正官正印再現

我們將看看針對製造業和食品商品自給自足的美國精英是否會成為主流?

然後中美關係---?

2020年9月17日 星期四

我猜肥豬篷的前世今生

 中共及香港愛國駡/藐視肥豬蓬之前,有沒有硏究他前世今生?

紅頂商人自由夢:科氏兄弟與共和黨的金權政治

https://global.udn.com/global_vision/story/8663/3089548

維基英語對肥豬蓬與科氏兄弟(Koch Brothers)的關係有一些描述

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Pompeo

Sourcewatch關於這種聯繫甚至有更深入的描述

https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Mike_Pompeo

去年十月肥豬蓬與科氏論堪薩斯州參議院競選, 在訪問威奇托期間,
肥豬蓬與億萬富翁查爾斯·科氏交談
https://www.wsj.com/articles/pompeo-discusses-senate-race-in-kansas-with-koch-11572116305


中國大陸實際上有一本關於科氏兄弟的翻譯書

黑钱:激进右翼崛起背后的亿万富翁隐秘历史.
Dark Money:The Hidden History of the Billionaires Behind the Rise of the Radical Right.




京东平台過去也销售 Kochland科氏帝国




戲肉?

山东如意集团拒绝债权人为莱卡公司提出的出售方案,将寻求IPO
luxe.co/post/117782

山东如意完成收购英威达旗下服饰和高级面料业务,成立“美国莱卡集团”
https://luxe.co/post/95843
請同時閱讀英文新聞報導
www.wsj.com/articles/lycras-chinese-owner-squeezes-out-of-tight-
spot-in-bond-markets-11576836064


https://www.fashionatingworld.com/new1-2/shandong-ruyi-refutes-claims-of-lycra-sale
山東
如意持有萊卡53.4%的股份,科氏工業持有22.2%的股份
更令人興奮的
https://www.intellasia.net/how-a-high-society-chinese-familys-takeover-
of-french-luxury-brand-baccarat-unravelled-into-a-boardroom-battle-with-
creditors-and-seizure-of-assets-809824


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-22/
jpmorgan-slams-brakes-on-losses-for-lycra-s-battered-creditors

即使離開中國也不容易?
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/12/
koch-industries-executive-interrogated-in-china-report-says.html

古喪仔都會說,xx跟YY,yy是zz線,同期三及第有alpha , beta, 燒老黃有omega, 現在糸Dino 老板撈賭船etc
Same token
肥豬蓬Koch 科氏Industries , ---
PS
他出生於63-12-30,似乎他的艱難歲月將在2022年,而不是2021年。


2020年9月14日 星期一

Oct Covid-19 Geo-politics?

 

 Simon Baptist w Economist Intelligence Unit sent out this reminder few days ago
Accelerated geopolitics
 

Covid-19 has accelerated many trends that were already apparent in global economics and politics: automation, supply chain recalibration, US-China tensions, low interest rates and a rollback in civil liberties. One I would like to highlight this week is international geopolitical changes; in particular, the growing clout and growing challenges of China. China is a major economic power, and for the clear majority of the world it is one of the top trading partners. China has managed to suppress the pandemic since its emergence, in stark contrast to the US, which has accelerated the narrowing of the gap between the two countries in credibility amongst international partners. In turn, this has put China in a stronger geopolitical position.

However, not all accelerating trends have been in China's favour. For many years, traditional US allies such as Europe, Japan and Australia have tried to balance a security alliance with the US alongside economic dependency on China. This holding pattern never seemed sustainable, despite the protestations of trade ministers, and in recent months we have seen these jurisdictions (along with others such as India and Canada) come down more firmly in the US camp, even if it means a deteriorating relationship with China. China's bombastic international diplomacy in response to Covid-19 has gone down particularly badly in Australia, while the EU is losing patience with unequal treatment of its firms. If Joe Biden wins the US presidential election, as we currently expect, he is likely to be more effective at co-ordinating these allies in a united front. That will make things harder for China, which is learning that greater international power also comes with greater international problems.


Below is my google search result on Covid-19 and Geopolitics

https://www.csis.org/analysis/world-order-after-covid-19
https://podcasts.apple.com/uz/podcast/how-covid-19-is-accelerating-geopolitics-shifts-interview/id593535863?i=1000472361484?i=1000472361484
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-geopolitics-of-the-pandemic-year/
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/05/coronavirus-pandemic-second-wave-geopolitics-instability/611668/
https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/asia-pacific/fast-forward-china-how-covid-19-is-accelerating-five-key-trends-shaping-the-chinese-economy
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-04-07/pandemic-will-accelerate-history-rather-reshape-it
https://www.undispatch.com/the-geopolitics-of-covid-19/
https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/literature/market-commentary/weekly-investment-commentary-en-us-20200824-strategic-asset-allocations-post-covid.pdf
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/08/19/1006349/covid-american-decline-geopolitics-coronavirus/
http://hillsdalecollegian.com/2020/09/viral-acceleration-geopolitics-after-covid-19/
https://www.rics.org/en-hk/wbef/megatrends/markets-geopolitics/covid-19-and-the-changing-geopolitical-landscape/

The mundane feng shui is no fun in Oct
Below is a Feng Shui Flying Stars presentation
The Big Prints are 2020-year configurations and Small Prints are Oct-month configurations

Feng Shui 2020 Flying Star Chart July

Source-https://www.fengshuimall.com/flying-star-2020-charts

Yearly illness 2 is in the South and Monthly disaster 5 is in the North

Note the central zone admits Year 7 and month 9 combination which can accelerate
 the detrimental effects of illness 2 and disaster 5

Note the North admits Year 3 and Month 5. 3 means conflicts
Note the South admits Year 2 and Month 4, 4 means literacy, diplomacy and organization
3
Will there be any pitfalls in IR (2,4) that may lead to conflicts (3,5)?

On top of all these, we also have year 3 jinx年三煞 in the South and monthly 3 jinx in the North 月三煞 U Tuber-Picture Healer has been doing videos explaining the basic principles of Feng Shui in English They can be a good reference. You can also find her stuffs on pinterest

2020年9月13日 星期日

香港人移民塞浦路斯?


香港人移民塞浦路斯?

現在有社會宣傳香港人移居塞浦路斯,獲得歐盟護照

歷史上的紛爭可能並不重要

賽普勒斯獨立後的主體民族
希臘人和少數民族土耳其人零星衝突不斷,直至1974年爆發嚴重的種族流血衝突。主要居住於該島北部的土耳其人在土耳其的干預和支持下於當地另立政權北賽普勒斯土耳其共和國。因此賽普勒斯共和國法理主權為賽普勒斯全島及其周圍海域(除了一小部分地區因為條約分配予英國作為軍事基地),然而事實上(希臘人政權)有效統治區域僅為南方,占全島面積的63%。北賽普勒斯作為政治實體目前僅為土耳其共和國所承認 (wiki/賽普勒斯)

但地緣政治緊張局勢可能迫在眉睫

 隨著土耳其積極開始在地中海東部有爭議的水域中尋找石油和天然氣,希臘和土耳其之間的緊張局勢正在加劇。希臘表示,根據土耳其尚未簽署的《聯合國海洋法》,在劃定一個國家的大陸架時必須考慮島嶼。 土耳其爭辯說,應該從一個國家的大陸來衡量一個國家的大陸架,因此希臘的卡斯特羅里佐島fKastellorizo以南的區域-距土耳其南部海岸只有幾公里-屬於其專屬區域 (彭博)


由於與鄰國土耳其的緊張關係加劇,希臘宣布大量購買武器。總理基里亞科斯·米佐塔基斯說,新的武器包括18架法國陣風戰鬥機,4艘護衛艦和4架海軍直升機。該國還計劃在未來五年內將其武裝力量增加15,000名士兵

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54132044

Overlapping claims in the Eastern Mediterranean graphic

九運風水最愛北水南山, 地中海不幸地在歐洲南部, 零正癲倒, 

尼古西亞為賽普勒斯島上最大的都市。位於賽普勒斯島中部、臨派迪亞斯河Pedieos ,北依橫越島國北岸的凱里尼亞山脈Kyrenia_Mountains,西南臨海拔約150米的特魯多斯山Troodos
北山南水, 零正癲倒, ?

只能說這個

移居塞浦路斯之前進行更多調查



Re-Trump officials seek greater control over CDC reports

 Wiki Search 
Michael Raymon Caputo (born March 24, 1962)[ is a Republican political strategist, and lobbyist. In April 2020, Caputo was appointed as assistant secretary of public affairs in the Department of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration.

He worked for the Reagan Administration with Oliver North
A veteran of the Vietnam War, North was a National Security Council staff member during the Iran–Contra affair, a political scandal of the late 1980s.

Caputo moved to Russia in 1994, after the fall of the Soviet Union, and was an adviser to Boris Yeltsin. He worked for Gazprom Media in 2000 where he worked on improving the image of Vladimir Putin in the U.S. He moved back to the U.S. and founded a public relations company, and then moved to Ukraine to work on a candidate's campaign for parliament.

Caputo was investigated by the United States House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence as part of its investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 US presidential election.

(In his early years) Caputo was mentored by Roger J. Stone Jr. in the ways of political advisement, and became his personal driver. In November 2019, subsequent to the Mueller report and Special Counsel investigation, Roger Stone was convicted on seven counts, including witness tampering and lying to investigators. On February 20, 2020, he was sentenced to 40 months in federal prison.] The sentence was commuted by President Donald Trump on July 10, 2020.

Capauto 's aide, Paul Alexander is a part-time professor of McMaster University
https://bayobserver.ca/2020/09/12/mcmaster-prof-is-one-of-trump-appointees-accused-of-interfering-with-centre-for-disease-control-reports/
https://experts.mcmaster.ca/display/alexap

Caputo 's Bazi Astro for 2020 is not particularly favorable 
大運天干偏印
流年地支食神, 神煞文昌,日空亡

2020年9月12日 星期六

9月9/10日包圍東沙群島, 驚天72小時??

 
9月9日 12:00 noon 東沙群島星空圖
中國大陸解放軍兩棲部隊9日在南海操演,"傳出"度對東沙島進行包圍
(武裝魚船?)

台灣視角
https://www.ettoday.net/news/20200912/1807318.htm
▲▼ 國防部在10日晚間記者會公佈的共軍演訓示意圖。(圖/國防部提供)

Videos
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGyOONoRaDc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F5SOc7fpgYg

可能是反應機制-最近的-美戰機闖東沙領空
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5f8vajVx8o


9月9日中午12:00 東沙群島星盤
火星和逆行
天王星第5宮
似乎與衝突無關,但

逆行天王星三分相(120)天頂(MC)
火星四分相(90°)刑
冥王星, 逆行土星和逆行木星附近

北交點在第七宮(衝突四分相(90°)刑逆行海王星(田宅宮第四宮)

逆行海王星(田宅宮第四宮)沖(180°)太陽 (國家元首)

確實有問題 ??

東沙群島在台灣西南

明年2021春節

西南年月飛星23容易衝突

例湯整定,在數難逃, 願和平與我們同在

Chill of The Day
https://www.facebook.com/Thefuandlovelypodcast/


2020年9月10日 星期四

California Fire

 California fire

加州山火
加州係1850年9月9日正式加入美國聯邦,即是庚戍年-乙酉月-癸亥日
現在乙酉月,伏呤月柱,易於有克應
占星原在加州天頂MC在摩羯座,
加州山火
加州係1850年9月9日正式加入美國聯邦,即是庚戍年-乙酉月-癸亥日
現在乙酉月,伏呤月柱,易於有克應
占星原在加州天頂MC在摩羯座,土木冥王星交會就係摩羯座
現在火星在白羊座,對沖左加州天星盤成立嗰陣時嘅火星,白羊座仲有成立是土星逆行不良效果
州長紐森Galvin Newsom 67-10-10 5.15am
丁未年-庚酉月-丁未曰-癸卯時
明年辛丑衝丁未
南斗數現時流月盤
仍在甲申月
月命(丑)太陽月
忌破年祿
月子女(選民)天同年忌(亥)
月宅(加州)祡相(辰)刑忌夾,逢相看府,武曲天府,武曲運忌年權併火星運羊
占星placidus 制,州長田宅四宮在摩羯座,年尾木土冥交會將在魔羯,附近天底有原命火星
現火星在白羊,白羊身是火性星座
州長出生盤白羊有凱龍Chiron 逆行三相(trine) 州長出生盤天底(IC)
火星原命和流年對州長有克應
加州喺美國西岸,即是收東邊水
今年五黃在東
現在農八月月八白見災五,易克應
如果以美國自己立極,加州喺西邊
年月93容易焚火
現在喺北加州較為嚴重,勉強叫做美國西北方
西北而家係年8月2,好似合10,但冠元師父著作看反呤,物盛而衰?土木冥王星交會就係摩羯座
現在火星在白羊座,對沖左加州天星盤成立嗰陣時嘅火星,白羊座仲有成立是土星逆行不良效果
州長紐森Galvin Newsom 67-10-10 5.15am
丁未年-庚酉月-丁未曰-癸卯時
明年辛丑衝丁未
南斗數現時流月盤
仍在甲申月
月命(丑)太陽月
忌破年祿
月子女(選民)天同年忌(亥)
月宅(加州)祡相(辰)刑忌夾,逢相看府,武曲天府,武曲運忌年權併火星運羊
占星placidus 制,州長田宅四宮在摩羯座,年尾木土冥交會將在魔羯,附近天底有原命火星
現火星在白羊,白羊身是火性星座
州長出生盤白羊有凱龍Chiron 逆行三相(trine) 州長出生盤天底(IC)
火星原命和流年對州長有克應
加州喺美國西岸,即是收東邊水
今年五黃在東
現在農八月月八白見災五,易克應
如果以美國自己立極,加州喺西邊
年月93容易焚火
現在喺北加州較為嚴重,勉強叫做美國西北方
西北而家係年8月2,好似合10,但冠元師父著作看反呤,物盛而衰